[手遊] 第九回台版道具賽活動分數線預測
看板LoveLive_Sip (LoveLive! School idol project)作者jimmily (Jimmy)時間11年前 (2014/09/14 01:36)推噓58(58推 0噓 32→)留言90則, 34人參與討論串1/2 (看更多)
原理、名詞解釋:#1JwxiwK
http://www.ptt.cc/bbs/LoveLive_Sip/M.1407957818.A.53F.html
***********************************警告**************************************
本文僅屬個人主觀預測,給不知道分數大約落點的玩家做參考,無法保證其準確性,9/15
早上無法追分數線的玩家請盡量拉高分數,不要太過相信落點,不要吝嗇Loveca stone。
***********************************警告**************************************
一、前言
http://i.imgur.com/fDmHJnk.png

前三次活動及本次活動分數線紀錄
本次活動排行榜更新時間為XX:X0,每小時的00、10、20、30、40、50分更新,每小時更
新六次,每次間格十分鐘,跟前次活動大同小異。
先觀察A part的部分,由於九月已經開學,又9/05為平日,所以可以發現本次活動A part
數字偏低。B part的部分依舊安定,一直都是那個範圍,比較可以觀察的是上一次活動與
這次活動開放EX曲子後(8/29、8/30及9/12、9/13),1500Rank線大同小異,5000Rank線則
是高出不少,這次的5000Rank線值得注意一下,8/31及9/01的兩條分數線也相差不多,不
像以往的兩條分數線差異較大。
二、分數線預測
http://i.imgur.com/neoy7nv.png

落點預測
C part依照以往的Increase/HR下去估算,一般來說應該可以抓到很準。
D part由於是9/15,跟上次活動一樣是開學且平日,估計不會與上次活動差太多,
1500Rank Increase/HR抓到200~260,低標約比上一次活動更低一些,高標大概抓到跟繪里
活動差不多(259),估計不會衝到這麼快。
5000Rank Increase/HR抓到190~240,低標也約比上一次活動更低一些,高標大概抓到跟繪
里活動高一些(225),估計也不會衝到這麼快。
簡單來說D part Increase/HR大概就在上上次(繪里)及上次(花陽)之間浮動應該較為合理
。
預測分數線:活動分數線最終預測落點
1500Rank 18700pt~19600pt
5000Rank 15600pt~16400pt
絕對安全線:力求保險,給活動結束當天無法參與衝刺的玩家做參考
1500Rank 20100pt
5000Rank 16900pt
由於C part資料還沒出來,分數線浮動較大,明天最後一篇預測文的預測分數線,盡量以
高低標差距在600pt以內為準。而絕對安全線以高標再高500pt作保險,絕對安全線主要給
活動結束當天的早上無法參與衝刺的玩家做參考,可以參與衝刺的玩家可以無視這條。
三、心得
希望這次怪獸一樣不會搞我,幸好上一次沒有搞我,不要再一直改更新頻率了。
最後是繪里活動跟花陽活動早上的衝刺情況,這個或許會有用。
繪里 花陽
8/15 06:01 1500Rank 18258pt 9/01 06:01 1500Rank 20517pt
5000Rank 15128pt 5000Rank 17208pt
最終 10:00 1500Rank 19862pt(↑1604pt) 最終 10:00 1500Rank 21867pt(↑1350pt)
5000Rank 16455pt(↑1327pt) 5000Rank 18417pt(↑1209pt)
到時候早上起床時或許可以參考。
最後一篇預測文大約9/15 00:30或01:00前盡快趕出來,這一篇寫得有點久囧。最後預測
文大概都是活動結束當天凌晨一點前會弄出來,原則上這就會是最後一篇,不會想再更改
,總覺得如果早上再更新或許會更精準,不過就有點失去預測的意義了,大家早上的時間
可能也不多。
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09/06 23:55,
09/06 23:55
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09/06 23:57,
09/06 23:57
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09/07 00:12,
09/07 00:12
#1K2oTXqq (CFantasy)
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※ 文章網址: http://www.ptt.cc/bbs/LoveLive_Sip/M.1410629817.A.571.html
※ 編輯: jimmily (1.169.193.208), 09/14/2014 01:37:27
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不用這麼緊張,那個是絕對安全。
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可以先大概抓個19K/16K為主,剩下就等明天預測文出來。
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